A historical collection of our writing.
NOTE: Today’s excerpt from my book World After Capital deals with how we have achieved the sufficiency of physical capital. This is capitalisms greatest accomplishment, but also means that we are now facing a new scarcity: attention. The title of the book is World after Capital. One of my […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
I recently finished Nassim Taleb’s latest book “Skin in the Game.” Much like Antifragile previously, I highly recommend reading it. The subtitle of the book is “Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life” and while I am not a fan of the obsession of publishers to add a subtitle to every non-fiction book (try […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
Last Uncertainty Wednesday, I introduced the idea of beliefs. Today we will make this idea more precise. We started with an extreme belief, the one that a coin is so biased that we will only observe “heads” (H). More realistically one might belief that a coin is fair, but has some possibility of […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
NOTE: As every Monday, I am continuing to post excerpts from my book World After Capital. Today, starts Part Two of the book, which is title “Getting Past Capital” with an overview and a section on population growth dynamics. Digital technology is shifting scarcity from capital to attention. That […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
I have been openly critical of Trump as a president going back to before the election. While I want radical change I do not believe the price for this ought to be going backwards on foundational issues such as the rule of law, press freedom and science. Nonetheless it has been fascinating to […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
The last few weeks in Uncertainty Wednesday we took a detailed look at the various problems with p-values. Now we will start to work towards an alternative approach based on Bayesian inference. Along the way though we have a chance to think about more foundational ideas, including the subjective […] Read more (opens Continuations in a new tab)
