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Modeling The AGI Economy

There is a heated debate about what an AGI-level economy might look like. On one side are pessimists who foresee extreme wealth concentration and a permanent precariat: people with no meaningful economic role, dependent on whatever crumbs fall from the [...]  Read more

AI Bubble or Not?

Are we in an AI bubble or not? As someone who lived through the dotcom bubble as an investor there are many parallels and also significant differences. By many metrics we are in obvious bubble territory with fantastically extended valuations [...]  Read more

History Rhymes?

It is said that while history doesn’t repeat, it does rhyme. This is a pattern we've observed before in the Internet era. When a novel technology arrives, early infrastructure is controlled (or attempted to be controlled) by a small number [...]  Read more